In our national debate over domestic oil production, too much time is spent discussing whether more production can lead to oil independence and too little time on the potential impact on liquidity in global oil markets. Lost in the back and forth is the fact that increasing domestic production by any amount increases spare capacity globally and lowers the risk premium.
In the world of commodities, hedging oil is the market equivalent of racing at Talladega. As one race car driver observed, "It's Talladega, short for 'We're going to crash, we just don't know when.' "